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- conducting-cyber-risk-assessment-with-nist-800-30 - executing-nist-rmf-authorization-to-operate - achieving-cmmc-level-2-compliance - implementing-hipaa-security-rule-safeguards - managing-third-party-vendor-risk Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
4.9 KiB
4.9 KiB
Risk Assessment Report (NIST SP 800-30 Rev 1) — Worked Example
Filled example for a mid-size SaaS company assessing its internet-facing application tier. Replace bracketed content for your own assessment.
1. Purpose, Scope, and Tier
- Purpose: Inform control-investment decisions for FY26 and satisfy the documented risk-analysis input required by the company's SOC 2 (CC3) program and ISO 27001 Clause 6.1.2.
- Scope: Internet-facing application tier — customer web portal, its identity provider (IdP), the API gateway, and the data lake behind them.
- Risk-management tier (SP 800-39): Tier 3 (information system), rolling up to Tier 2 (the "Customer Platform" mission).
- Assessment window: FY26 Q2; valid 12 months or until a triggering change.
2. Assumptions, Constraints, and Risk Model
- Assumptions: A financially motivated external adversary of moderate-to-high capability is actively targeting the sector; internal users are trusted but fallible.
- Constraints: Assessment is architecture- and scan-driven; no red-team engagement was run this cycle.
- Risk model: Factors = threat source, threat event, vulnerability/predisposing condition, likelihood, impact. Adversarial threat events are mapped to MITRE ATT&CK.
- Scales: Five-level qualitative (Very Low → Very High). Risk computed via the 800-30 Rev 1 reference 5×5 matrix (see
references/standards.md). This matrix was agreed during Prepare and is locked for the cycle.
3. Threat Sources (Appendix D)
| Source | Type | Characterization |
|---|---|---|
| Organized cybercrime group | Adversarial | High capability, financial intent, opportunistic + targeted |
| Authorized employee | Accidental | Misconfiguration / human error |
| Hardware/software failure | Structural | Storage, service, or dependency failure |
| Regional power / cloud-region outage | Environmental | Low frequency, availability impact |
4. Threat Events (Appendix E)
| ID | Threat event | Source | ATT&CK |
|---|---|---|---|
| R-01 | Adversary phishes employee credentials, then moves laterally to the IdP | Adversarial | T1566, T1021 |
| R-02 | Adversary exploits an unpatched edge VPN to deploy ransomware | Adversarial | T1190 |
| R-04 | Employee misconfigures a data-lake bucket to public | Accidental | — |
| R-03 | SIEM storage disk fails, corrupting un-backed-up logs | Structural | — |
5. Vulnerabilities and Predisposing Conditions (Appendix F)
| Threat event | Vulnerabilities / conditions |
|---|---|
| R-01 | No phishing-resistant MFA; flat internal network (no segmentation) |
| R-02 | VPN appliance missing a critical patch; internet-exposed management plane |
| R-04 | No preventive SCP/guardrail; broad write permissions on storage |
| R-03 | No RAID; no offsite/immutable backup of SIEM data |
6. Risk Register
(generated by scripts/process.py; likelihood × impact → risk on the 800-30 5×5 matrix, ranked highest-first)
| ID | Threat event | Source | Asset | ATT&CK | Likelihood | Impact | Risk | Key vulnerabilities | Treatment | Residual | Owner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R-01 | Phish → lateral movement to IdP | Adversarial | Identity provider | T1566, T1021 | High | Very High | Very High | No phishing-resistant MFA; flat network | Mitigate | Moderate | IAM Lead |
| R-02 | Ransomware via unpatched edge VPN | Adversarial | VPN concentrator | T1190 | Moderate | Very High | High | Missing critical patch | Mitigate | Low | Infra |
| R-04 | Public S3 misconfiguration | Accidental | Data lake | — | Moderate | High | Moderate | No SCP guardrail | Mitigate | Low | Cloud |
| R-03 | Disk failure corrupts logs | Structural | SIEM storage | — | Low | Moderate | Low | No RAID; no offsite backup | Accept | Low | SOC |
7. Top Risks Summary (for leadership)
- R-01 — Very High. A successful phish into our identity provider is the single most damaging plausible event: it grants broad access and, on a flat network, fast lateral movement. Recommendation: deploy phishing-resistant MFA (FIDO2) and segment the IdP — this is the highest-leverage control this fiscal year.
- R-02 — High. Edge-VPN ransomware is a sector-common entry path. Recommendation: emergency-patch the appliance, restrict the management plane, and validate offline backups.
- R-04 — Moderate. Cloud misconfiguration is likely but bounded; a preventive SCP guardrail collapses the likelihood cheaply.
8. Maintenance Plan
- Cadence: Full re-assessment annually; register reviewed quarterly.
- Re-assessment triggers: new internet-facing system, major architecture change, any incident affecting in-scope assets, or significant new threat intel (e.g., active exploitation of a component we run).
- Tracking: Treatment progress and risk-acceptance signatures recorded in the GRC tool; residual risk re-scored after each control lands to show year-over-year movement.