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andrewibrahandClaude Opus 4.8 e8832748d3 Add 5 skills: GRC (800-30, RMF, CMMC, HIPAA, TPRM)
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Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-04 09:57:31 -04:00

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Risk Assessment Report (NIST SP 800-30 Rev 1) — Worked Example

Filled example for a mid-size SaaS company assessing its internet-facing application tier. Replace bracketed content for your own assessment.

1. Purpose, Scope, and Tier

  • Purpose: Inform control-investment decisions for FY26 and satisfy the documented risk-analysis input required by the company's SOC 2 (CC3) program and ISO 27001 Clause 6.1.2.
  • Scope: Internet-facing application tier — customer web portal, its identity provider (IdP), the API gateway, and the data lake behind them.
  • Risk-management tier (SP 800-39): Tier 3 (information system), rolling up to Tier 2 (the "Customer Platform" mission).
  • Assessment window: FY26 Q2; valid 12 months or until a triggering change.

2. Assumptions, Constraints, and Risk Model

  • Assumptions: A financially motivated external adversary of moderate-to-high capability is actively targeting the sector; internal users are trusted but fallible.
  • Constraints: Assessment is architecture- and scan-driven; no red-team engagement was run this cycle.
  • Risk model: Factors = threat source, threat event, vulnerability/predisposing condition, likelihood, impact. Adversarial threat events are mapped to MITRE ATT&CK.
  • Scales: Five-level qualitative (Very Low → Very High). Risk computed via the 800-30 Rev 1 reference 5×5 matrix (see references/standards.md). This matrix was agreed during Prepare and is locked for the cycle.

3. Threat Sources (Appendix D)

Source Type Characterization
Organized cybercrime group Adversarial High capability, financial intent, opportunistic + targeted
Authorized employee Accidental Misconfiguration / human error
Hardware/software failure Structural Storage, service, or dependency failure
Regional power / cloud-region outage Environmental Low frequency, availability impact

4. Threat Events (Appendix E)

ID Threat event Source ATT&CK
R-01 Adversary phishes employee credentials, then moves laterally to the IdP Adversarial T1566, T1021
R-02 Adversary exploits an unpatched edge VPN to deploy ransomware Adversarial T1190
R-04 Employee misconfigures a data-lake bucket to public Accidental
R-03 SIEM storage disk fails, corrupting un-backed-up logs Structural

5. Vulnerabilities and Predisposing Conditions (Appendix F)

Threat event Vulnerabilities / conditions
R-01 No phishing-resistant MFA; flat internal network (no segmentation)
R-02 VPN appliance missing a critical patch; internet-exposed management plane
R-04 No preventive SCP/guardrail; broad write permissions on storage
R-03 No RAID; no offsite/immutable backup of SIEM data

6. Risk Register

(generated by scripts/process.py; likelihood × impact → risk on the 800-30 5×5 matrix, ranked highest-first)

ID Threat event Source Asset ATT&CK Likelihood Impact Risk Key vulnerabilities Treatment Residual Owner
R-01 Phish → lateral movement to IdP Adversarial Identity provider T1566, T1021 High Very High Very High No phishing-resistant MFA; flat network Mitigate Moderate IAM Lead
R-02 Ransomware via unpatched edge VPN Adversarial VPN concentrator T1190 Moderate Very High High Missing critical patch Mitigate Low Infra
R-04 Public S3 misconfiguration Accidental Data lake Moderate High Moderate No SCP guardrail Mitigate Low Cloud
R-03 Disk failure corrupts logs Structural SIEM storage Low Moderate Low No RAID; no offsite backup Accept Low SOC

7. Top Risks Summary (for leadership)

  1. R-01 — Very High. A successful phish into our identity provider is the single most damaging plausible event: it grants broad access and, on a flat network, fast lateral movement. Recommendation: deploy phishing-resistant MFA (FIDO2) and segment the IdP — this is the highest-leverage control this fiscal year.
  2. R-02 — High. Edge-VPN ransomware is a sector-common entry path. Recommendation: emergency-patch the appliance, restrict the management plane, and validate offline backups.
  3. R-04 — Moderate. Cloud misconfiguration is likely but bounded; a preventive SCP guardrail collapses the likelihood cheaply.

8. Maintenance Plan

  • Cadence: Full re-assessment annually; register reviewed quarterly.
  • Re-assessment triggers: new internet-facing system, major architecture change, any incident affecting in-scope assets, or significant new threat intel (e.g., active exploitation of a component we run).
  • Tracking: Treatment progress and risk-acceptance signatures recorded in the GRC tool; residual risk re-scored after each control lands to show year-over-year movement.